A enlarged view of the five-day forecast track for Tropical Storm Cristobal issued at 11 a.m. EDT Aug. 24 by the National Hurricane Center.
The third tropical storm of the 2014 Atlantic hurricane season formed Sunday morning. Tropical Storm Cristobal was moving north-northwest near the southeastern Bahamas.
According to the 11 a.m. advisory from the National Hurricane Center, Cristobal was about 130 miles east of Long Island. The storm was moving to the north-northwest at 7 mph. Maximum sustained winds were 45 mph. Cristobal is expected to strengthen into a hurricane by Wednesday morning.
Sunday morning a tropical storm warning was in effect for the southeastern and central Bahamas, as well as the Turks and Caicos Islands. The NHC advised that a tropical storm watch could be issued for northwestern Bahamas later today.
The center of Cristobal is expected to move near of over portions of the central Bahamas through Monday. Tropical storm winds extend outward up to 80 miles from the center.
If the current forecast track holds true, after Cristobal passes the Bahamas, it is not likely to threaten land, as it passes well offshore the U.S. east coast and eventually turns east.
Hurricane season runs from June 1 to Nov. 30.
NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center updated the 2014 season Outlook Aug. 7. The latest outlook, which includes hurricanes Arthur and Bertha, predicts a 70 percent chance of the following ranges: seven to 12 named storms (top winds of 39 mph or higher), including three to six hurricanes (top winds of 74 mph or higher), of which zero to two could become major hurricanes (Category 3, 4, 5; winds of at least 111 mph).
The 30-year seasonal average is 12 named storms, six hurricanes and three major hurricanes. The initial outlook in May predicted eight to 13 named storms, three to six hurricanes and one to two major hurricanes.
For more information about hurricanes and how to prepare, visit the Hurricane Guide.